For overviews and evaluations of the literature on the causes of proliferation, see scott d. This book by debs and monteiro a voluminous expansion of their 2014 article argues. Readings nuclear weapons in international politics. World order change as paradoxical as it might seem, nuclear arms control was an integral part. Debs and monteiro develop a theory of strategic interaction between the potential proliferator, its adversaries and its allies. Nuclear strategy in the modern era impressively advances scholarship on nuclear proliferation and its consequences. If detonated, these weapons would cause the equivalent of about 150,00 hiroshima bombs. Nuclear myths and the causes of nuclear proliferation. Nuclear proliferation over the next decade james martin center. The strategic causes of proliferation cambridge studies in international relations book 142 kindle edition by debs, alexandre, monteiro, nuno p download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Cambridge studies in international relations ser nuclear. The strategic logic of nuclear proliferation, international security, vol. Focusing explicitly on the strategic interaction between the potential proliferator and its allies and adversaries, the book accounts for patterns of proliferation that no other approach has been able to explain.
Monteiro 2016, trade paperback at the best online prices at ebay. The strategic causes of proliferation cambridge studies in international relations. Department of political science, yale university, new haven, connecticut 06511. The strategic causes of proliferation springerlink. The strategic logic of proliferation by alexandre debs and nuno p. Strategic studies quarterly fall 2019 7 rategic studies quarterly th feature articlest realism, idealism, deterrence, and disarmament. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading nuclear politics. This book will be of great interest to all students of arms control, strategic.
The new political science literature on nuclear proliferation and nonproliferation should help us understand the crucial questions about states capabilities and motives forbuilding thebomb, but it has thus far been of limited utility. In the middle east and africa, pipelines and export facilities have been targets in local and regional political disputes. The strategic causes of proliferation by alexandre. Finally, nuclear politics makes an important contribution to debates on u. Nuclear proliferation remains one of the most pressing and important issues in international politics and security. Nuclear strategy in the modern era princeton university press. The strategic logic of nuclear proliferation international. However, the proliferation of new weapons systems can have a profound impact on international politics even at levels short of war. The strategic causes of proliferation cambridge studies in international relations by debs, alexandre isbn. A state has the willingness to nuclearize when it faces a serious security threat nuclear politics. Here is the video of a talk i gave on the strategic causes of nuclear proliferation as part of the security speaker series at indiana preface and intro to nuclear politics book. The bulk of the proliferation literature focuses on why states want nuclear weapons. We start by laying out the trajectory of scholarship on the causes of proliferation, organizing it in three waves.
The threat posed by the proliferation of nuclear weapons has 3 major aspects. The impact on the coercive power of states and the potential for actual use make nuclear weapons potentially destabilizing in the international security. Overturning a decade of scholarship focusing on other factors. Predicting nuclear proliferation federation of american scientists. There is a need for an enabling environment at both the global and regional levels for successful nuclear non proliferation engagements. Strategies of nuclear proliferation strategies of nuclear. The scholarly literature on the causes of nuclear proliferation evolved in three waves. The role of nuclear weapons in international politics.
Overturning a decade of scholarship focusing on other factors, debs and monteiro show in nuclear politics that proliferation is driven by security concerns. A very nearly final version of the preface and opening chapter of my book nuclear politics. Causes of nuclear proliferation two theoretical perspectives compete to explain the causes of nuclear proliferation. Nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation oapen library.
Horowitz the spread of nuclear weapons and international conflict. Dinshaw mistry, perspectives on politics with its combination of theoretical ambition, empirical rigor, and lucid writing, narangs book deserves a place on the strategists bookshelf alongside brodie, schelling, jervis. The intensification of the iranian and north korean nuclear crises causes concern that. The strategic causes of proliferation with alexandre debs, published by cambridge university press in 2014 and 2017, respectively. Strategic insights is a monthly electronic journal produced by the center for contemporary. Based on the analysis in nuclear weapons, do you believe that a nuclear armed iran would cause the spread of nuclear weapons in the middle east and around the world and a weakening of the global nuclear non proliferation regime. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders.
Nuclear strategy in the modern era princeton university. He is the author of theory of unipolar politics and nuclear politics. World order change as paradoxical as it might seem, nuclear. We start by laying out the trajectory of scholarship on the causes of prol. Sep 15, 2020 hence, in this nuclear age, global strategic stability cannot be achieved through discriminatory non proliferation measures. In the absence of a supplier cartel that can regulate nuclear transfers, the more suppliers there. In south asia, indias offensive doctrines of a limited war under a nuclear. Through the development of new datasets and the application of cutting edge research methods, contributors to this volume significantly advance the frontiers of research on nuclear weapons.
First, will the npt be extended in perpetuity, as the united states and the other nuclear weapon states nws. For scholars and practitioners alike, there is a strategic logic to nuclear. The strategies of inhibition make sense of puzzles that neither containment nor openness strategies can explain, while providing critical insights into postworld war ii history, theory, the causes of nuclear proliferation, and debates over the past, present, and future trajectory of u. However, aforementioned trends could not prevent determined proliferating states i. Causes and consequences of nuclear proliferation 1st edition. May 24, 2018 the notion that a nuclear capable ally may keep states from going nuclear and that the alliance must be strong enough is not new, although testing it systematically across so many cases is. Nuclear arms proliferation and global security project. The question of how they pursue them, however, has largely been ignored. Undoubtedly, the iranian nuclear programme would throw existing security structures into flux causing a fundamental rethink in regional strategic alignments kaye and wehrey, 2007, p. Meyer, the dynamics of nuclear proliferation chicago. For an argument that political incentives, like prestige, are a cause of nuclear proliferation see ted greenwood, harold a. Motivations, capabilities, and strategies for control new york. Proliferation occurs only when a state has both the willingness and opportunity to build the bomb. Sagan, the causes of nuclear weapons proliferation, especially pp.
Impact of nuclear weapons on international relations. What is the role of the international atomic energy agency. Why do they select particular strategies to develop them, and how do these choices affect the international communitys ability to prevent nuclear proliferation. Horowitz the spread of nuclear weapons and international. This question is important because how states try to acquire nuclear weaponstheir strategies of nuclear proliferation affects their likelihood of success and thus the character of the nuclear landscape. States motivations to acquire or forgo nuclear weapons. Mar 11, 2016 the body of theory outlined in the strategic logic of nuclear proliferation is the most adequate explanation of why some states choose to acquire a nuclear deterrent and others do not. The realist or neorealist perspective contends that states pursue nuclear weapons to offset international security threats. Conflict and cooperation on nuclear nonproliferation annual.
It touches on theoretical explanation of north korea quest for nuclear arms. The iranian nuclear programme has surfaced as one of the chief security, political and diplomatic challenges of the 21 st century. The first section briefly presents what we know about which states developed nuclear weapons and which states started but abandoned weapons development programs. The strategic causes of proliferation department of political science. The causes of nuclear weapons proliferation annual. Nuclear politics significantly advances our understanding of nuclear proliferation by applying a penetrating analytic lens to this critical topic. Cambridge studies in international relations series. Tom sauer maintains horizontal proliferation, the nuclear taboo, international law, the risk of nuclear terrorism and missile defence undermined efficacy of strategic weapons sauer 2009. The strategic causes of proliferation cambridge studies in. Nuclear arms proliferation and global security project topics. Essays in this volume address why states acquire nuclear weapons, why they engage in nuclear cooperation, and. Nuclear proliferation, which can occur either through the commercial production of electricity with nuclear energy or directly via nuclear weapons, is another major security concern mit, 2003. Pdf proliferation and the logic of the nuclear market.
Dec 15, 2016 nuclear politics marks an important step forward in our understanding of nuclear proliferation. Nuclear proliferation an overview sciencedirect topics. Oct 03, 20 this book offers valuable insights into the causes and consequences of nuclear proliferation. The strategic logic of nuclear proliferation nuno monteiro. The us policy, as elaborated in the national security strategy of 2002, undermines. The notion that a nuclear capable ally may keep states from going nuclear and that the alliance must be strong enough is not new, although testing it systematically across so many cases is. Causes and consequences of nuclear proliferation 1st. First, scholarship should incorporate nonsecurity dynamics into the strategic interaction approach to the study of.
A state has the willingness to nuclearize when it faces a serious security threat. The strategic causes of proliferation, paperback by debs, alexandre. There are an estimated 23,000 nuclear weapons in the world today, 22,000 of them belonging to the united states and russia. Nuclear proliferation pdf carnegie council for ethics in. The study focuses on the description of korea and its people, origin, political, organization, geographic and intellectual development. I highlight the problems that result from uncertainty about the accuracy and completeness of the data. Monteiros research focuses on international relations theory and security studies. Alexandre debs and nuno monteiro advance a theory that seeks to adapt the security explanation, and incorporate it into a strategic interaction approach. The emergence of nuclear weapons has been a source of. Poli 379r nuclear proliferation and global politics. Pdf the causes of nuclear weapons proliferation semantic. Examine the impact of nuclear arms and proliferation in global security with emphasis on north korea. The evolution of the nuclear market explains why there are only nine members of the nuclear club, not twentyfive or more, as some analysts predicted.
The first section briefly presents what we know about which. The strategic logic of nuclear proliferation journals gateway mit. Alexandre debs is associate professor of political science at yale university, where he is also a research fellow at the macmillan center, and codirector of. Debs and monteiro show that the spread of nuclear weapons is best understood as a threeway strategic interaction between a government contemplating getting the bomb, its adversaries considering how best to stop such acquisition, and its allies calculating whether to coerce or threaten to abandon the ally, to offer renewed security assurances, or to. Causes and consequences of nuclear proliferation book cover. Nuclear proliferation, the spread of nuclear weapons, nuclear weapons technology, or fissile. Intuitively, security is the most important factor driving nuclear acquisition. Four strategies of proliferation are available to states. Conflict and cooperation on nuclear nonproliferation with nuno p. Monteiro, cambridge studies in international relations, vol.
The strategic causes of proliferation by alexandre debs and nuno p. Capabilities the first group of incentives and disincentives for nuclear weapons non proliferation is summarized here as capabilities. It thus makes a significant contribution to the literature on the role of thirdparty allies on nuclear proliferation and the incentives of other countries. The causes of nuclear proliferation and the utility of the. The strategic causes of proliferation cambridge studies in international relations, series number 142 debs, alexandre, monteiro, nuno p.
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